Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.028390 0.030600 0.032910 0.035510 0.038356 0.041382 0.044846
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.024729 0.027886 0.031368 0.035506 0.040307 0.045721 0.052317
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.021911 0.025544 0.029713 0.034878 0.041140 0.048534 0.057994
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.019968 0.023908 0.028577 0.034559 0.042083 0.051316 0.063629
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.018407 0.022539 0.027566 0.034197 0.042803 0.053721 0.068825
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.016930 0.021127 0.026352 0.033415 0.042835 0.055139 0.072720
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.016139 0.020506 0.026064 0.033757 0.044291 0.058449 0.079334
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.015300 0.019754 0.025532 0.033703 0.045160 0.060965 0.084971
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.014735 0.019317 0.025374 0.034117 0.046664 0.064417 0.092176
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.013968 0.018556 0.024720 0.033779 0.047047 0.066250 0.097064
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.013337 0.017943 0.024227 0.033621 0.047654 0.068413 0.102577
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.012715 0.017305 0.023657 0.033307 0.047987 0.070152 0.107516
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.012262 0.016889 0.023387 0.033425 0.048988 0.073001 0.114517
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.011676 0.016252 0.022764 0.032971 0.049071 0.074399 0.119207
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.011072 0.015561 0.022025 0.032294 0.048751 0.075107 0.122747
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.010613 0.015060 0.021541 0.031981 0.048980 0.076710 0.127951
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.010180 0.014579 0.021063 0.031645 0.049141 0.078193 0.133034
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.009682 0.013978 0.020373 0.030931 0.048626 0.078474 0.135905
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.009467 0.013798 0.020322 0.031242 0.049844 0.081821 0.144792
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.009180 0.013494 0.020062 0.031193 0.050435 0.084087 0.151777
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.009007 0.013359 0.020062 0.031571 0.051783 0.087793 0.161913
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.008692 0.012989 0.019668 0.031263 0.051894 0.089227 0.167570
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.008430 0.012692 0.019380 0.031119 0.052286 0.091201 0.174502